Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.240119 0.272228 0.306514 0.345789 0.389475 0.436514 0.490935
2025-09-28 0.195831 0.238670 0.287328 0.346474 0.416204 0.495566 0.592484
2025-10-05 0.167045 0.216713 0.276191 0.352211 0.446290 0.558361 0.701378
2025-10-12 0.147107 0.201749 0.270313 0.361868 0.480014 0.626338 0.820132
2025-10-19 0.129004 0.186214 0.261136 0.365230 0.504693 0.683489 0.928162
2025-10-26 0.116015 0.175469 0.256409 0.372942 0.534370 0.747732 1.048189
2025-11-02 0.106290 0.167822 0.254614 0.383680 0.567925 0.818164 1.179618
2025-11-09 0.094497 0.155643 0.244937 0.381954 0.583290 0.863951 1.279254
2025-11-16 0.084682 0.145199 0.236521 0.380838 0.598696 0.909793 1.380472
2025-11-23 0.076126 0.135674 0.228403 0.379103 0.612456 0.953294 1.479770
2025-11-30 0.070873 0.130848 0.226941 0.387098 0.640813 1.018924 1.613800
2025-12-07 0.064637 0.123657 0.220966 0.387284 0.656782 1.066464 1.722742
2025-12-14 0.058828 0.116769 0.215158 0.387712 0.673817 1.117572 1.841470
2025-12-21 0.053688 0.110494 0.209777 0.388314 0.690985 1.169579 1.963995
2025-12-28 0.050012 0.106493 0.207909 0.394576 0.717596 1.237517 2.114385
2026-01-04 0.047345 0.104098 0.208614 0.405209 0.751951 1.319278 2.290212
2026-01-11 0.043946 0.099876 0.205590 0.408901 0.774499 1.382684 2.439034
2026-01-18 0.041493 0.097278 0.205312 0.417411 0.805704 1.461586 2.616320
2026-01-25 0.039649 0.095729 0.206849 0.429271 0.843325 1.552727 2.817474
2026-02-01 0.036386 0.090775 0.201320 0.427359 0.855942 1.601734 2.949683
2026-02-08 0.033508 0.086327 0.196378 0.426123 0.869536 1.652765 3.087101
2026-02-15 0.030831 0.082016 0.191315 0.424204 0.881580 1.701370 3.221998
2026-02-22 0.029383 0.080389 0.191673 0.433038 0.914260 1.787731 3.425851